What is required to scale up energy efficiency investments by 2030?

Governments should develop comprehensive investment strategies tailored to their unique circumstances

In the NZE Scenario, investment in end uses such as more efficient buildings, transportation and industry triples from around USD 650 billion per year today to about USD 1.9 trillion per year by 2030. The IEA highlights in its Taking Stock to Taking Action report how a comprehensive approach to energy efficiency action is the most effective way to accelerate progress, with an array of available diverse measures tailored to each country’s specific circumstances.

Key elements of energy efficiency improvements in the IEA COP28 Full Implementation Case

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Mitigation measures for energy efficiency in the IEA COP28 Full Implementation Case

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In emerging economies, where many people are getting access to new modern accommodation and appliances for the first time, investments in technical efficiency dominate. This involves improving the performance of buildings through better insulation and appliances, including heating and cooling. Transport electrification also plays a role, particularly through electric motorbikes and three-wheelers. In sub-Saharan Africa, the switch to clean cooking fuels dominates the mitigation measures. In advanced economies, the bulk of efficiency improvements come from replacing older infrastructure with newer, more efficient and increasingly electricity-dominated systems. This includes a large-scale diffusion of electric vehicles and charging infrastructure as well as heat pumps in buildings and industry. Retrofits of energy-intensive buildings – such as hospitals, shopping malls, office buildings, schools, and universities – as well as district heating and cooling also offer quick wins to accelerate energy efficiency progress. Behavioural change also plays an important role and can be supported through investments in public transport systems and digitally-enabled devices such as smart thermostats. 

Which sectors and regions are key for increasing investment?

While investment in energy efficiency has risen by 50% compared with 2019 levels, spending has not been evenly distributed around the world. Efficiency investment is highly concentrated, with almost 90% of spending occurring in China and advanced economies.

In the NZE Scenario, energy efficiency investments in advanced economies almost double by 2030, while in China and other EMDEs, investments grow four to seven times, compared to today. Due to the rapid rate of urbanisation in most developing economies and the need to construct highly efficient zero-carbon-ready buildings, the investment seen in the buildings sector stands out in the NZE Scenario. A sixfold increase in spending is seen in China and even higher increases in other EMDEs. While industry is one of the most difficult sectors to decarbonise, its funding often yields the best results. Key actions include upgrading facilities to handle more recycled materials; electrification, especially in light industry; and switching to efficient, electric motor-driven systems.  

Energy investment in end use sectors, 2024 and 2030 Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario

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What are the key sources of investment in energy efficiency?

In contrast to other areas of clean energy investment, the majority of energy efficiency investment spending comes directly from households, accounting for more than 70% of total spending in buildings and close to 50% in transport. Efficiency investments in the building sector are spent on constructing new homes and undertaking renovations, investing in rooftop solar and batteries, or purchasing an EV or heat pump. Households and businesses most typically use their own equity, sourced from savings or balance sheets to fund efficiency investments. This accounts for just over half of efficiency investment spending, with commercial debt making up the other half. Around 80% of debt finance is provided by commercial banks or other financial institutions.

Many households do not have access to debt finance at competitive interest rates and projects are often too small for commercial lenders to finance directly at scale due to the high share of transaction costs in each deal. Project aggregation and securitisation solutions such as sustainability-linked bonds can play a role here to lower costs of capital and provide access to more finance. These issues are particularly pertinent in EMDEs where the costs of capital can be up to four times higher than in mature economies – a key barrier for future investments.

Households and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) also require technical assistance to access debt for financing of clean energy projects. In the industrial sector, and in EMDEs in particular, finance is more likely to come from public sources, such as DFIs. These institutions can act as holders of both debt or equity in projects and can assist in attaining grants and strengthening project viability to attract other commercial funding. 

Energy efficiency and other end-use investment in the buildings sector, 2019-2023

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Energy efficiency and other end-use investment in the transport sector, 2019-2023

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Energy efficiency and other end-use investment in the industrial sector, 2019-2023

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What are the financing solutions and business models that can best support greater efficiency investment?

Increasing investment on energy efficiency can be supported by a variety of financial instruments. A selection of possible financing solutions with proven ability to aggregate projects and achieve scale are described below.  

Selected financing solutions and business models to scale up energy efficiency investment

Financial instruments

Primary application

Usage

Credit lines

Residential and light industry

Credit lines aggregate small projects that might otherwise not qualify for commercial finance. By standardising the project appraisal and loan processing, they reduce transaction costs. For instance, in the West Balkans, EBRD’s credit lines supported 18 000 households to invest over USD 100 million in energy-saving technologies such as insulation, heat pumps, new windows or solar panels. The EBRD Green Economy Financing Facility is supported by almost USD 7 billion worth of investment in green technologies. Governments can enable credit lines through robust policies and regulation and encourage retail banks to invest in efficiency.

Sustainability-linked loans

Commercial, municipal and utility services

Loan instruments where borrowers enjoy preferential terms depending on sustainability performance objectives are called sustainability-linked loans. Such instruments accounted for USD 1.7 trillion between 2018 and 2024, with just 7% of loans including efficiency as a key metric. A notable example is China Hongqiao Group’s USD 300 million loan aimed at reducing carbon emissions in the aluminium sector. Governments can help bolster this instrument by setting standards for transparency and to address greenwashing. France offers zero-interest loans for the purchase of low-emission vehicles.

Green leasing

Commercial buildings

Green leasing is a form of lease with dedicated clauses covering the building’s environmental performance and the obligations of tenants and landlords to reduce energy use and waste. Green leases are used in both advanced and emerging economies. In the United States, green leases in some cases reduced energy use in office buildings up to 22%. For the building owners, a green lease is a tool to meet the minimum energy efficiency requirements, which may be set by governments.

Green Social Sustainability bonds

Commercial and public buildings, heavy industry, municipal and utility services

Green Social Sustainability bonds are a fixed-income investment instrument to fund projects that provide positive environmental and social benefits. Green bonds reached an annual volume of almost USD 600 billion in 2023, with about 10-20% of those including energy efficiency aspects. Green bonds are used in several regions, including Asia and Latin America. The European Commission has designed a voluntary European Green Bond Standard to foster transparency and market best practices. Reduced transaction costs and improve transparency are required to scale this instrument up.

Energy Service Companies

Light industry

ESCOs provide comprehensive energy saving solutions to customers, including arranging or securing any required finance. In countries with the right mix of regulatory support and technical skill, the ESCO model has delivered significant energy efficiency investment. A healthy ESCO market requires policies that incentivise energy efficiency and a robust legal system for resolving disputes.

What are the main steps that governments can take to help households and businesses increase investment levels?

While different regions have varying needs and require tailored approaches, the following policy actions can help governments drive accelerate growth in energy efficiency-related investments:

  1. Improve access to affordable capital for households and businesses. For instance, increasing the availability of sustainability-linked loans with low interest rates and providing technical assistance to households and SMEs can help drive investments, as well as low and zero interest rate financing for efficient vehicles.
  2. Leverage public funds to attract private investment, while providing support for vulnerable groups. This may involve deploying public funds as a combination of grants, financial instruments and project development assistance to trigger private sector financing. Potential efficiency gains in public services and utilities (such as water and wastewater, street lighting) can be significant.
  3. Put in place dedicated capacity building programmes for public officials to strengthen institutional capacities and ensure access to innovative solutions. This could involve training programmes on established and innovative financing instruments best suited for buildings, transport and industry sectors.
  4. Strengthen international co-operation to direct the flows of funding to EMDEs. A particular focus can be given to lower the cost of capital to attract more investment in these regions. 
  5. Focus on supporting industrial financing options. While industry is one of the most difficult sectors to decarbonise, it is also the one where financing can deliver the best results. Only 6% of the total rise in efficiency-related investment can deliver 20% of the total intensity improvements by 2030. This may involve a variety of instruments, including ESCOs, green leasing and green loans available for SMEs and heavy industry.